Asymmetric unemployment uctuations and monetary policy trade-o s

نویسندگان

  • Antoine Lepetit
  • Francesco Furlan
چکیده

I show that a trade-o between in ation volatility and average unemployment arises in a New Keynesian model with search and matching frictions in the labor market. In this environment, unemployment rises more and faster in a recession than it decreases in an expansion. A monetary authority focused solely on stabilizing in ation exacerbates labor market volatility and leads to higher average unemployment. When the model is calibrated to the U.S. economy, the welfare gains of adopting the optimal policy rather than a policy of price stability are found to be substantial. Moreover, the bulk of those welfare gains arises from the increase in mean employment achieved by the Ramsey policymaker. This result points to the importance of the asymmetric nature of unemployment uctuations in shaping monetary policy trade-o s. The introduction of imperfect unemployment insurance does not change the results in a signi cant way.

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

منابع مشابه

The Effect of Central Bank’s Monetary Policy on Unemployment and Inflation in Provinces of Iran: A GVAR Approach

The national economy of most countries is made up of various regions (provinces) with different industrial composition, financial structure, trade relations, and institutional environment. Depending on these characteristics, regions may respond differently to a uniform national macroeconomic policy. Policymakers should consider these heterogeneities to achieve the national development objective...

متن کامل

The Fed’s Conduct of Monetary Policy: Has it Changed and Does it Matter?

This paper investigates changes in the conduct of U.S. monetary policy. Monetary policy is modeled in the context of the Bernanke-Mihov (1998) structural VAR (SVAR) extended to allow explicitly for the Fed’s forward looking behavior. This is achieved by including its realtime forecasts on in‡ation and unemployment (the “Greenbook” forecasts). Stability tests that exploit the SVAR identifying re...

متن کامل

House Price Rigidity and the Asymmetric Response of Housing Prices to Monetary Policy in Iran

This paper examines downward price rigidity in Iranian house market and discusses whether this characteristic would result in an asymmetric relationship between house price and monetary policy. To test the downward house price rigidity the threshold GARCH model is employed. The asymmetric adjustment to monetary policy is examined using the asymmetric cointegration and error correction models. T...

متن کامل

Investigating the asymmetric impact of monetary shocks on bank credits during business periods: (Serious Keynesian Perspective Test)

Monetary policy is one way of controlling economic fluctuations, and in recent years, developing countries (including Iran) have been particularly concerned with policymaking. For this reason, it is necessary to consider how these policies will affect the Iranian economy and its variables. It should also be examined whether the existence of inflationary conditions in the Iranian economy can hav...

متن کامل

Asymmetric Effects of Monetary Policy and Business Cycles in Iran using Markov-switching Models

This paper investigates the asymmetric effects of monetary policy on economic growth over business cycles in Iran. Estimating the models using the Hamilton (1989) Markov-switching model and by employing the data for 1960-2012, the results well identify two regimes characterized as expansion and recession. Moreover, the results show that an expansionary monetary policy has a positive and statist...

متن کامل

ذخیره در منابع من


  با ذخیره ی این منبع در منابع من، دسترسی به آن را برای استفاده های بعدی آسان تر کنید

برای دانلود متن کامل این مقاله و بیش از 32 میلیون مقاله دیگر ابتدا ثبت نام کنید

ثبت نام

اگر عضو سایت هستید لطفا وارد حساب کاربری خود شوید

عنوان ژورنال:

دوره   شماره 

صفحات  -

تاریخ انتشار 2014